Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.344634 0.391700 0.445516 0.512203 0.593459 0.690364 0.816385
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.276302 0.337831 0.415980 0.525091 0.677897 0.891627 1.227835
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.229465 0.294775 0.384009 0.520002 0.732353 1.072063 1.709516
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.201724 0.269369 0.367352 0.528000 0.804003 1.304758 2.430920
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.174165 0.238663 0.335865 0.503609 0.812630 1.430481 3.048134
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.152267 0.212780 0.306784 0.475653 0.804795 1.519153 3.666551
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.136127 0.193466 0.284927 0.455187 0.804564 1.624230 4.459941
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.131423 0.191338 0.290619 0.485417 0.917725 2.066493 7.157067
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.130713 0.195414 0.307276 0.540402 1.108601 2.879893 14.238280
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.126713 0.193365 0.312508 0.573192 1.260732 3.738095 27.569671
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.121601 0.188739 0.312136 0.593587 1.389629 4.680393 55.659182
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.114855 0.180475 0.303567 0.593156 1.457397 5.454241 106.519348
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.105575 0.167245 0.284502 0.566168 1.438356 5.811392 177.242317
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.099374 0.159263 0.275367 0.562862 1.503441 6.856363 539.770676
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.093183 0.150752 0.264143 0.552056 1.538948 7.832507 2468.248680
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.089100 0.145869 0.259957 0.559163 1.649994 9.821088 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.082845 0.136283 0.244562 0.532342 1.609116 10.274490 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.076912 0.126927 0.228825 0.502067 1.542539 10.344073 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.072082 0.119434 0.216571 0.479998 1.505818 10.770900 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.071413 0.120098 0.222562 0.512540 1.744461 16.410643 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.072225 0.123795 0.235978 0.571892 2.182853 32.488117 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.071398 0.124041 0.241316 0.607374 2.536060 58.776102 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.069863 0.122671 0.242545 0.629475 2.836069 104.015984 NaN